38 replies to this topic

[Jacki O.]

here's planned parenthood's endorsed candidates

who else do you like?

PP of AZ paints a very scary picture:
The 2010 election is the most dangerous Arizona women and families have faced in modern times. That's because it is possible that politicians who oppose women's health care and prevention-focused sexual health education could sweep every one of the state's five major statewide offices and the legislature.

This would represent the first time since Roe V Wade was decided that every one of Arizona’s statewide offices will be held by an anti-choice official.

For the first time in 37 years, every state leader could be allied with and supported by the anti-choice, anti-sex ed groups that are the source of the state's most extreme barriers to couples and young people getting the information and health care they need to live healthy lives, free of unintended pregnancy and sexually-transmitted infections.

Jan Brewer and anti-choice legislators are putting Arizona women and families in danger. We must stop their extremist agenda…to make it virtually impossible for women in Arizona to access reproductive health care and education.

Given our experience during the 2009 & 2010 legislative sessions, if the legislature continues to be overwhelmingly anti-choice, we expect dangerous legislation to once again have strong support in the legislature.

Every one of the statewide candidates PPAA has endorsed is both abundantly qualified, and a respecter of families' ability to make their own decisions about private matters like childbearing.

[skeksis]

my gawd, do you really want to know? by "looking good", I mean "likely to win", not "good for us"

Short answer, stating the obvious - the more hypocritical, dumb, and irrational the candidate, the better they're looking for Nov 2. Because basically we've got a dumb, irrational electorate. AZ is in a really ugly feedback loop - elect conservatives, get no investment in education or services, which means a generation later you've got a deficit of smart folks with good jobs, and an excess of dummies with lousy jobs and a tendency to vote conservative (reinforcing the lack of investment in education). Regardless of tax policy, businesses worth having won't come into that kind of setting. Which means tax revenue spirals lower, more $ pulled from education, and more & more extreme right policy. Basically we're at the point that most Arizonans see a dumb disaster Gov. Brewer as a better option than a moderate, proven competent democrat. Nationally, things are only a pinch better. BUT the Dems are poised to lose the house right before redistricting - which will likely entrench them in the minority for at least another decade. Effing fantastic.

Rant over.... wish I could adopt the AJJ philosophy of "stay & change the place where I was born." But I'm awful pessimistic about things.

[Jacki O.]

but you're still here right!?!?!?!

one day at a time, keep chipping away

[skeksis]

but you're still here right!?!?!?!

one day at a time, keep chipping away

not packing my bags yet :-)

but will be finishing up at school in about a year or year and a half... will more likely than not be moving elsewhere - haven't yet seen a strong enough case for staying. another couple of Ph.D.'s with good jobs headed for less-hostile territory (my wife's from the bay area, pretty good odds that's where we're headed).

[Jacki O.]

damn you!

[Quezo]

There's no place for you to dig there S!

It's all water.

[sonofpatter]

I have been trying to find a guide for the multiple referendum’s on this next ballot. Any suggestions of where I might look?

[bob]

i didn't see this when i posted the other one. whoops.

[MrAwesome]

Recent poll has Goddard within 3 points of Brewer. Every poll with her being 15-20 points ahead has been Rasmussen or Fox News so I am more optimistic about this elections than most people.

[skeksis]

Recent poll has Goddard within 3 points of Brewer. Every poll with her being 15-20 points ahead has been Rasmussen or Fox News so I am more optimistic about this elections than most people.

mmmm... 3% of all voters, 11% of likely voters. While I take some small comfort in the trend moving the right direction, I still don't think there's much to be optimistic about. It'll be closer than expected, probably, but it'll blow my mind if Goddard gets there.

[bob]

Recent poll has Goddard within 3 points of Brewer. Every poll with her being 15-20 points ahead has been Rasmussen or Fox News so I am more optimistic about this elections than most people.

mmmm... 3% of all voters, 11% of likely voters. While I take somme small comfort in the trend moving the right direction, I still don't think there's much to be optimistic about. It'll be closer than expected, probably, but it'll blow my mind if Goddard gets there.

flashback 2008: "While I take somme (sic) small comfort in the trend moving in the right direction, I still don't think there's much to be optimistic about. It'll be closer than expected, probably, but it'll blow my mind if Obama gets there."

[Jacki O.]

i try not to speculate or look at polls (they suck)

i hope brewer gets voted OUT
fuck her face



As for voting for AZ judges:

here's a conservative site that shows you which judges they like (douches) and which judges they don't (dirty liberals)
good info so you know which judges to vote for!

Vic's Picks from 2008 - still might be some judges running.
i can't find an updated guide for 2010


AZNETROOTS.com is awesome
Their motto? "Turn AZ Blue"

[JJames]

Recent poll has Goddard within 3 points of Brewer. Every poll with her being 15-20 points ahead has been Rasmussen or Fox News so I am more optimistic about this elections than most people.

thats pretty much within a single standard deviation of polling error too so thats not so bad. if they are 3 points apart then they might overlap and therefore the poll is invalid. sweet

[The Real Jeffrey Lebowski]

I was pretty pessimistic on Brewer/Goddard until I saw the daily poll on AZCentral the other day. It's totally non-scientific (lord knows I voted 3-4 times), but Goddard came up ahead, however slightly. Knowing AZCentral and it's usual crowd, I was fully expecting to see Brewer 60ish, Goddard 40ish

Fingers crossed...

[JJames]

telephone survey

so if she is ahead by 3 points you could say that she is at 51.5 and goddard is at 48.5 in a survey of 555 people. So then sampling error = squareroot((.515x.48.5)/555). we are 68% sure that brewer has between 49.38% and 53.62%. We re also 68% sure that goddard has up to 50.62%. These overlap (50.62> 49.38)so it could actually mean that goddard could be ahead!!!