just something I've recently mused on since I'm thinking about buying a house in the next two years (was thinking sooner until I learned about PMI).
consider that the value of whatever home you're likely to purchase today will increase over the next two years. the amount you pay in PMI today may be less than what you'd pay without PMI in 2013. that's speculation, obviously, but the housing market is waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay cheap right now.
Good point. Also, I just realized the PMI is no longer required once you've got 20% of the principle paid off. I could make extra large payments for the first year and get the principle up to 20% quickly. So I guess that isn't an issue anymore.
On the cons side, seems like things could still go lower, especially in the area I'm looking at. The university is laying off a lot of people due to budget cuts and there's going to be at least one more round of cuts (which will be announced shortly and result in job losses a year from now). Also, a long disputed chunk of land in this zip code was finally approved for development a few years ago and the first new houses out of an eventual 400 will be completed by the end of this year (or early next year).
I'm convinced that the prices I'm already seeing on listings are significantly higher than they should be (particularly if you project for these local effects). A bunch of houses have "reduced" signs, but that really doesn't tell you anything except that it was originally listed too high (doesn't mean it's low enough after the reduction). Even the real-estate agent wants to list it high since they get big cut, though not as high as home owners since they are more realistic. A buyer has to look out for himself. I'm going to try to find several acceptable houses and make very low offers and see if any of them bite. If not, then I'll be more comfortable buying closer to the list prices I'm seeing.
I wonder if it would be beneficial to work with multiple real-estate agents. After my first/previous car buying experience, I'm incredibly wary of commissioned sales people.